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[-] Comment on "CoreLogic: Home Prices Decline for Seventh Straight Month" - Source of Title/OH (3 replies)
4/7/2011 5:17:41 PM (3505 views)
Greater Than 50% Distressed Sales - Wyatt Bell/FL
4/7/2011 5:17:41 PM (7713 views)
Re: Greater Than 50% Distressed Sales - Slade Smith/OH
4/8/2011 3:50:30 AM (5162 views)

In the defense of CoreLogic and also the Case-Shiller home price index which I follow, I have not noticed a pattern of positive spin on the data, and certainly nothing like what you see out of the NAR or the NAHB in their releases regarding housing data. 

I tend to agree with you however on your view of the relative lack of importance of the one-month trend of stabilization of non-distressed sales.  I would claim as an amateur economist that what the February CoreLogic figures showed is likely not a sign of stabilization in the housing market, and in fact we need to see just the opposite, i.e. we need to see the gap between non-distressed prices and distressed prices shrinking, if we are looking for stabilization and signs of strength in housing.

Right now, we have that huge price gap-- foreclosure properties are discounted more than 35% at last check-- because the ordinary buyer who wants to obtain a home for themselves to live in is shut out of the foreclosure market to a large extent because they cannot get financing-- worries about obtaining clear title being a large part of the problem.  Since many of these sorts of buyers currently have little to no choice but to buy a non-distressed home or not buy at all, demand for non-distressed properties is artificially increased, and demand for distressed properties is decreased.  When the gap widens, like Corelogic reported this week, that is merely a sign of more turmoil and greater distortion in the foreclosure market-- a bad thing if you are looking for a sustainable recovery in housing prices anytime soon.

That gap simply has to shrink eventually-- the question is, how soon.  Eventually, I think the foreclosure problems will be alleviated somewhat, perhaps by the 50-state settlement over servicing abuses that is being kicked around.  Once it becomes a little safer and a little easier for the average Joe and Jane to buy a foreclosure to live in, they will start doing so.  That will both bolster demand for foreclosures and take away from demand for non-distressed properties. 

That's what's got to happen for real, lasting stability to return to housing prices-- we need ordinary people to start buying foreclosures to live in.  Anything else is not a true and sustainable sign of pricing strength.

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Core Logic - Wyatt Bell/FL
4/8/2011 12:05:36 PM (5214 views)

[+] Value America - feedback appreciated - Amy Jensen/OR (8 replies)
4/7/2011 12:42:16 PM (3692 views)

[+] Despicable Me - TJ/FL/FL (1 reply)
4/7/2011 11:59:40 AM (3654 views)

[+] The Next Housing Shock - Dan Zook/NY (4 replies)
4/6/2011 2:43:25 PM (4741 views)

[+] Eclipse Real Estate Services - Ron McPherson/IA (4 replies)
4/6/2011 1:16:20 PM (4546 views)




[+] Comment on "Deeds Official Asks Trearurer to Pull Account from MERS Member Bank" - Source of Title/OH (4 replies)
4/5/2011 10:59:17 PM (3328 views)

[+] 21 Century-Just say NO - Nathan Miller/KY (9 replies)
4/5/2011 4:03:51 PM (3647 views)

[+] Vendor mgmt games (again) - TJ/FL (9 replies)
4/5/2011 2:13:36 PM (3644 views)

[+] Reality Data - Datachek - Kurt deVries/FL (6 replies)
4/5/2011 12:10:21 PM (3721 views)

[+] Comment on "Chicago Area Title Crooks Plead Guilty at Last Minute" - Source of Title/OH (4 replies)
4/5/2011 8:38:17 AM (3217 views)

[+] UnPaid Invoice from FSE - Dody Fuhrmann/NV (7 replies)
4/4/2011 10:54:40 AM (3636 views)

[+] To Robert - Norean Cashwell/GA (2 replies)
4/3/2011 7:48:58 PM (3362 views)

A Queens Home Wallpapered With Memories - Leigh Attridge/MA
4/3/2011 7:01:25 PM (4142 views)

Foreclosure crisis: Fed-up judges crack down disorder in the courts - Edward Huguenin/SC
4/3/2011 5:42:34 PM (4150 views)

[+] Fort Trumbull Update - Kevin Ahern/CT (1 reply)
4/2/2011 7:25:23 PM (4176 views)


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