There are rumors floating around that the Obama Administration will order Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to forgive a portion of homeowners' mortgage debt - at least those that are currently underwater. If true, it could happen as soon as this month. It is difficult to tell how well such a move will received. On one hand, Wall Street got its bailout and many are wondering what good that did for the average homeowner. On the other, the many people who did not borrow more than they could afford may not like seeing irresponsible borrowers getting let off the hook for their poor decisions.
Could the rumor be true? In a letter to Barney Frank, House Rep. Spencer Bachus wrote:
...it is being reported that the Administration might order the government-controlled mortgage finance company [Fannie Mae] to forgive many Americans' mortgage debts later this month.
This comes just weeks after a lawsuit was filed against Fannie Mae alleging that it "grossly wasted public funds." I suppose if the government is going to allow such waste, it might as well waste it helping homeowners.
It is estimated that 15 million American homeowners owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth. That is approximately 1-in-5 with a combined negative equity of about $800 billion!
But is it fair to just forgive debt in such a manner? Many of those who are upside down on their mortgages just happened to buy, or refinance, their home at the wrong time. According to Zillow.com, the Zillow Home Value Index has dropped from $240,000 to $185,000 in less than four years. That is a drop of nearly 24%.
No doubt, part of the reason for the declining values in homes has been the foreclosure crisis. When homes are foreclosed on, they sell for well below the market value. A flood of foreclosures in a neighborhood adds many lower value comparable homes that factor into appraised values.
Certainly it can be argued that poor governmental policy caused the collapse of the housing market. Shouldn't the government bear some of the responsibility for all of the underwater mortgages? Maybe they do have some obligation to help.
But, what about all of the homeowners who are not underwater, and who are keeping up with their mortgage payments. As taxpayers, they will certainly be asked to pay for this Main Street bailout. Is it fair to them to be required to pay for this massive undertaking?
According to a blog on RedState.com, this is a "blatant political strategy:"
The mortgage Hail Mary would be a last-gasp effort to prevent this from happening and to save the Obama agenda. The political calculation is that the number of grateful Americans would be greater than those offended that they — and their children and their grandchildren — would be paying for someone else’s mortgage woes.
In general, most Americans are opposed to government bailouts. Taxpayers were forced to bailout AIG, GM, Chrysler, the banks, etc... They are sick of seeing their taxes going to companies that caused this mess and not getting anything for it. Will they be any more receptive to a bailout of ordinary people, or will they simply become more irate at the idea of paying for someone else's troubles?
With this move likely to come just before a mid-term election (if at all), we may soon find out. Republicans are expected to pick up some seats in the House and Senate - possibly even regaining control of one or both. This bailout could send a loud message to our elected officials - but what that message is remains to be seen.
Robert A. Franco
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